Gordon stakes betting line
The sight of a horse trapped on the rail, going like a winner but with nowhere to go, is as much a part of Goodwood as the award-winning canopies on the roof of the grandstand, and definitely something to bear in mind before backing a short-priced favourite.
A race like today's Gordon Stakes, for instance, is a good deal more competitive than the odds on offer about Fiorente, the certain favourite, might imply. His latest form, when second to Nathaniel in the King Edward VII Stakes at Royal Ascot, looks even better now that the winner has gone on to take the King George over the same course and distance, but while he suffered some trouble in running there too, Fiorente still finished five lengths adrift.
Fiorente has the same owner, trainer and jockey as Conduit, who took this race on the way to victory in the St Leger three years ago, but looks short, not least when Slumber 2. He finished three lengths behind Nathaniel when the latter colt was touched off by Treasure Beach — the Derby runner-up and Irish Derby winner — at Chester, while he had no luck in running behind Pisco Sour — a Group Two winner since — at the Royal meeting.
At the prices, Slumber has to be the pick, but there is more to like about the market leader in the feature event, the Group Two Lennox Stakes, where Strong Suit 3. Richard Hughes, his jockey, set a new record for the number of winners at this meeting last year, and his patient, confident style is well suited to this track.
Highest Ground comfortably got the better of Waldkonig when the two met at Haydock last season. Sir Michael Stoute's charge was then beaten a neck by Thunderous in the Dante at York, before ending his season with a poor outing on soft ground at Newmarket.
All three have to be respected in this open, enthralling race. Highest Ground, as many of Sir Michael's horses do, is sure to progress as a four-year-old. Thunderous has been campaigned unusually lightly at two and three, and Mark Johnston has handed his star some lofty entries during the first half of the season. Waldkonig has already come out and won well at Pontefract, and could still be open to further improvement.
Extra Elusive improved with running last season, but still cannot be completely discounted. Roger Charlton's six-year-old could attempt to make the running under Hollie Doyle. Winter Reprise secured some decent results when trying to make all in France in the Autumn, and he too is likely to go forward, and ensure the hold-up horses have an honest pace to aim at.
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The last horse to complete the double was the Sir Michael Stoute-trained Conduit in , though more recently Encke and Arctic Cosmos have proved defeat here is no barrier to success on Town Moor. Stoute is the most successful trainer in the Gordon Stakes with an impressive nine wins, including with subsequent Group 1 winners Harbinger and Ulysses. This year he has made only one entry in the shape of Crystal Ocean , who won a maiden in impressive fashion on his seasonal return at Nottingham in May.
He was understandably aimed high after that, given the impression he made, and showed much improved form when finishing third in the Dante at York on his next start, arguably shaping like the best prospect in the field.
However, he only ended up taking a sideways step when finishing one and three quarter lengths third to Permian in the King Edward VII at Royal Ascot last time, for all his Dante run and profile promised so much more. It remains very early days with Crystal Ocean, though, his immaturity compared to the hardened pair that beat him at Ascot last time visible.
Plus, he made his ground quickly and wide when the pace was lifting on the home turn, challenging into the straight, but flattering out late on. The feeling remains that there is still improvement to be unlocked, and he could hardly be in better hands with that in mind. Khalidi finished one place in front of Crystal Ocean at Royal Ascot, beaten half a length by Permian, and is a general second favourite for this race.
Extra Elusive improved with running last season, but still cannot be completely discounted. Roger Charlton's six-year-old could attempt to make the running under Hollie Doyle. Winter Reprise secured some decent results when trying to make all in France in the Autumn, and he too is likely to go forward, and ensure the hold-up horses have an honest pace to aim at. The one I'm really keen to side with is HUKUM, who impressed last season, despite showing signs of inexperience and immaturity.
Owen Burrow's charge stayed on from the rear to end his juvenile campaign with an eye-catching victory at Kempton. An outing in the St Leger followed and, although he didn't really challenge, Hukum did himself justice. Jim Crowley's mount broke well from a tricky stall and travelled into the race powerfully.
When push came to shove, though, Hukum just couldn't find that extra gear, coasting over the line a four-length fifth. Hukum's half-brother, Kasbaan produced the best performances of his career during the first half of his four-year-old season.
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