Kentucky derby 2022 betting advice
Why did he wind up on the vet's list as "unsound"? Is he being rushed along to start here by his owner? He's clearly the lightning rod starter here and every bit of me wants to completely toss him based on the workout issues and this being his third lifetime start. But there's also part of me that thinks it's almost too obvious to completely toss him.
He will be a big overlay as a result and he may be the most talented colt with the biggest upside. Simplification Trainer: Antonio Sano Jockey: Jose Ortiz I really want to use Simplification with confidence, but will Jose Ortiz ride him the correct way and give him the trip he had at the Fountain of Youth Stakes, or will he be sent on the lead as he was before tiring in the Florida Derby?
He had a bit of a bounce coming off a career-best finish at the Fountain of Youth. He had excuses in both races against White Abarrio, so I don't think he should be double the price of that one. Maybe he's not good enough, but at I'm happy to invest and find out. He's a dead closer and while he has clunked up for pieces at Oaklawn, I just can't see him better than fourth here for a trainer who hasn't done much in graded stakes, and he was easily beaten by Cyberknife.
I like him because he's versatile and while his worst lifetime race and Beyer Speed Figure came on this track last year, he may have just developed from 2 to 3 in the care of Saffie Joseph and that race can be thrown out. He has made up six lengths on Smile Happy, but can he beat the likes of Zandon?
Maybe not, but he's another one that can win and will be on my tickets. I had him in the Arkansas Derby and I'll have him here. I'm not expecting anywhere close to though. He has improved since taking the blinkers off in his first try against winners in the Lecomte. His Beyer Speed Figures are a little light, but that's fine, as it means he probably hasn't reached the bottom yet. It could also mean he may not have it in him.
Distance isn't a question, but it's just a matter whether he's good enough and whether Florent Geroux can work out a good trip off the pace from Post I think the answer to both is yes. He is one of the more likely winners Saturday. Remember that last year Mandaloun was before eventually being declared the winner after Medina Spirit was disqualified.
If he doesn't send, then throw out any handicapping you've done, as the goal is to not finish last. My guess is that it will be more exciting for the owners to say they had the lead in the Derby. He will not be on my tickets in any spot other than an all button for third in one trifecta.
The second of the three Brad Cox runners will likely be the longest price and the farthest back of the bunch. Two of his three wins came at Turfway, he hasn't really been close against Epicenter or Tiz the Bomb and he didn't beat anyone at Keeneland. But he is still here, has a trainer who can pop at a price and should get a nice pace to run into.
It still will not be enough to crack the exacta, but I wouldn't be completely shocked if he clunked up to complete the superfecta. He has no shot of winning, or being around after 10 furlongs, but his first stakes try was pretty good and he holds the key to helping the other two Cox runners. An outside draw and send into a contested pace isn't a recipe for victory on the first Saturday in May.
However, if he does his job well, it will affect the chances of Cyberknife and Tawny Port. Look for this one to compete in some big sprint races this summer. Ethereal Road Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas Jockey: Luis Contreras Good luck to you is all I have to say if you're considering using this horse with zero speed from post Anita Marks' picks Marks' pick: Charge it to win Cyberknife Marks' pick: Cyberknife to win Exactas and trifectas with 8 and 16 on top -- followed by 10, 3, 6, 12 and 7 There are plenty of favorites in the field of 20, including Zandon and Epicenter, but both will not provide value.
When handicapping this year's race, look for horses with a good "front foot," meaning they are not off the pace at the turn, and that have drawn a good post -- middle of the pack. There are two horses with odds that I will be betting to win Saturday. Charge It, a Pletcher horse, has Luis Saez as his jockey. Pletcher has said that he is his favorite 3-year-old and even though this will be only his third race he finished second in the Florida Derby , he is starting to peak.
This horse has all the pedigree, drew a great post position, and will only get better as the race goes on. The question is whether he can handle the intensity of the crowd on Derby day. Cyberknife, a Brad Cox horse, has Florent Geroux as his jockey. They are coming off a win in the Arkansas Derby five weeks ago and Cyberknife has been training well over the past three months. He has the speed to be in a good position when needed -- even though he drew the 16th post.
I will also be using both Bob Baffert horses in exactas and trifectas -- even though he will not be in attendance. He also graduates from DeSales High School later this month. If I didn't bet on him I'm pretty sure my wife would divorce me.
I'm picking him first with Cyberknife second and Zandon third. Let's get weird once again. I love the connection to Brad Cox and his Louisville background. I just think that's a great story, and I'd love to see him in the winner's circle come Saturday evening. Almost tore up my ticket when he was on the far turn sitting dead last, and then he swept the field in just three-eighths of a mile.
I'm going to read that and say Zandon should be the favorite.
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It could serve as a motivation going into the Kentucky Derby. With the kind of experience jockey John R. Velazquez has with the Kentucky Derby, having won it 3 times in , , and , we cannot rule Messier out that easily. All that is left for jockey Irad Ortiz is to strategize on how to get the best out of Mo. For instance, he won with White Abarrio back in the Florida Derby in April, and he is likely to play a vital role if the 3-year-old colt goes for its third consecutive victories.
Out of the 5 races, White Abarrio has started, he has won 4, which says a lot about how excellent he can be. Final Words If you want to wager on the Kentucky Derby, it is the best time to do it. Zandon is the favorite pick of the Kentucky Derby betting offers, but you cannot rule out the prediction tipping Epicenter or Messier.
She likes nothing more than sharing tips and predictions on sports betting. Her other favorite sports include horse racing, snooker, and golf. Rebecca is in charge of writing and media at BetZillion. You can thank her for making our articles look so great. The th Kentucky Derby will be run in front of a full capacity crowd on Saturday.
Horse racing is already tough enough. Now, on top of that, we have to consider the weather and how these horses will perform in swampy conditions. If there is dominating, overwhelming favorite in the field — like a Big Brown or American Pharoah — then it makes sense to load up on that one horse and let it ride.
But if you lean into it with your full stack, you can make it pay. This can be especially lucrative if you get a horse at to-1 or lower to come through and you have that horse in some exotics exacta, trifecta, etc. Add in a full mount field, the rain, and the poor conditions of the track — remember, there are going to be 11 races run prior to the Derby — I think that things are setting up well for a surprise winner in the Run for the Roses. That year there was a lot of parity and no dominating horse.
The favorite following the post draw, Omaha Beach, was scratched midweek, further muddling the field. Then, the downpour. That Saturday it rained all afternoon, turning the track into a mess. The whole thing was a mess, really. That said, the Derby was run in wet track conditions and in the rain in , and as well, and the morning line favorites won all three races.
So, what does that mean for this weekend? The rain and poor track conditions are definitely an X-factor in what is already a tricky field. The favorites, Zandon 3-to-1 and Epicenter 3.
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Kentucky Derby Betting Picks 2022 - Horse Racing Tips for Saturday, Churchill Downs Best Bets \u0026 OddsThe inside post may force Joel Rosario's hand a bit early and make him part of a pretty decent pace up front.
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| Teknik rahsia forex percuma | Post time is set for p. Published: May. He has improved since taking the blinkers off in his first try against winners in the Lecomte. There's very little, if anything, to suggest he will not run his race Saturday and at the very least post a top-three finish. Maybe not, but he's another one that can win and will be on my tickets. Wayne Lukas Jockey: Luis Contreras Good luck to you is all I have to say if you're considering using this horse with zero speed from post |
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